Slowly humanity is eliminating the false labels so we can live as we should, one person to another. We have a way to go though. At this stage of social evolution most educational and economic systems are out of tune with the real forces of nature. They are slanted inwards by a variety of forces that do not want consumers to have a global view.
This is changing quickly. Technology and population growth are expressions of evolution. International investors profit by helping finance this change. See how this shift can help you live in homes on gardens like this one below at unbelievably low prices (You will see the home and price later in this message).
Recent messages have looked at how population growth and technology mean that life, as we know it, will change. The change is likely to increase inflation and alter how we can make international investments. We can profit from this process if we see it coming and adjust the way we invest, do business, grow and eat our food, house ourselves, sleep, raise our families and much more.
The crux is evolution. Mankind has used technology to live longer, travel further and consume much more. There are more and more people. This is good. We all want our babies to live long lives. Not a bad ideal for personal use either. Yet there are finite amounts of land.
There is growth in material consumption. Every person on earth wants to enjoy more. The industrial mentality is that everyone wants more.
This onslaught of expansion in numbers and consumption per capita is led by the USA where the population has grown from 200 million to 300 million in the last 39 years. America is headed for another 100 million and all these new Americans will statistically consume even more in the next 34 years.
How will all this growth change the system of our world?
First, the increased growth and resultant concentration into urban areas encourages specialization and mass production of food. This creates enormous strain on small farmers. See garyscott.com/international_investments/international_investments_103.html
Once big food producers get a foothold on the system they then encourage even greater shifts to agri-business and centralized distribution. One reader outlined how this works and wrote:
Gary, I think you missed the real reason small time farmers are having such a struggle. Something like 90% of the massive government subsidies for farming in both the USA and the EU go to the big farming conglomerates and multi-national seed/chemical/agricultural companies. This allows them to sell their food at low prices because they make their money on the subsidies. Selling near cost instead of with a decent profit tacked on undercuts all the small farmers keeping grain prices down for 50 years… about the time govt. agricultural subsidies have been around. It also undercuts farmers in 3rd world markets as the citizens of those countries can buy subsidized grain cheaper from the USA than from their own farmers down the road. All the best, Charles
This part of the system reduces the freshness and quality of food. This in turn creates health imbalances which lead increasing numbers of consumers to use more pharmaceuticals at earlier and earlier ages.
This encourages increased mass production in the health care system as well.
Here the system runs into a crunch because population growth also leads to increased aggression. Anyone who commutes in heavy traffic or lives in a crowded city does not need this explained. However there have been numerous studies about the effects of crowding on social behavior that can enforce belief in this fact.
Take what the Oxford Journal says at oxfordjournals.org: Investigations of the effects of crowding on social behavior has long been a major focus of the research on rodent populations conducted in the laboratory of John B. Calhoun, at the National Institute of Mental Health. In these studies, rats living under crowded conditions exhibited many behavioral abnormalities, including poor parental behavior, and excessive aggression. These behavior patterns are similar to those displayed by rats with neocortex damage except that the latter were tested under controlled, uncrowded conditions. An experiment was designed to examine the concomitant effects of forebrain lesions and population density upon a rat’s capacity to cope with social complexity. The behaviors of rats with less than 50 percent of the normal neocortex, resulting from prenatal chemical treatment, were compared at two population densities to similar groups of normal rats. The micrencephalic rats were initially and generally less capable parents and were more aggressive than normals. In both types of rats, females in populations of eight bisexual pairs reared proportionally fewer of their offspring to weaning age than females in populations of four pairs. The overall reproductive success of normal rats at the higher population density was as poor as that of the micrencephalic rats at the lower population density. These results have been interpreted as showing that rats are sensitive to differences in population density even at relatively low absolute population sizes, and that increased population density interferes with the capacity of the neocortex to cope with environment complexity. You can read the entire abstract at The Rat Poplulation NIMH: Density, Reproduction, Neocortex
This leads to the need for more security that goes way beyond increased foolishness at airport check ins. Insurance for example is security. So are legal systems. All these systems are likely to grow because increased crowding will probably increase aggression.
This burden of security further undermines the system’s effectiveness, reduces everyone’s prosperity and further drains the system’s health. One of our good friends, who is an MD, outlined an example of this when he wrote:
Dear Gary, I see that you got the article I sent you. I thought that it would be of interest to you. It is an awful shame what our wonderful country has come to. We are in the stranglehold of lawyers and agencies of government. Doctors are particularly concerned. Recently, here in Florida , two ER docs were sued even though they did every thing right in other doctor’s estimations. The plaintiff was awarded 100 million dollars for malpractice and 112 million punitive damages. They tried to declare bankruptcy but the judge refused to allow them to do so. Hopefully, this can be reversed but it sent shutters down the spine of all doctors. Doctors in Florida are either retiring, leaving the state, or modifying their practices to avoid litigation. Due to impending reimbursement cuts to physicians by Medicare, many docs are opting out of Medicare. Regards.
Big agri businesses profit. Insurance companies profit. Pharmaceutical companies profit…short term. Long term the system is so distorted that it must change.
One backlash will be a shift from living in urban areas to rural. Thus I recommend keeping an eye on Small Town USA and rural property all over the globe. That’s why we are in Cotacachi (very rural) and the Blue Ridge.
There will also be a shift from eating processed foods to fresh, “beyond organic” fare and forward to healthier lifestyles.
A Washington Post November 6, 2006 article by Michael Rosenwald entitled “Popularity of Farmers Markets, Natural Grocery Stores Helps Cultivate a Rise in Niche Farms”: tells more:
This is where Michael Pappas farms: not in the great wide fields of Iowa or in California ‘s industrial salad bowl, but in Lanham. He is eight miles from the Washington Monument , three or four turns from the Beltway, at the end of a long road in a residential neighborhood. He’s growing crops on 2 1/2 acres with 2 1/2 employees.
How’s life? “Lately, it’s really pretty good,” Pappas says, in the middle of his fall harvest at a place he calls Eco Farms. He points out some lemon verbena, which he sells to chef Michel Richard for his D.C. restaurant, Citronelle, considered one of the country’s best. Nearby he has a little patch of wild arugula for chef Johnny Monis at Komi. He’s also got mesclun salad, basil, peppers, radishes, carrots, beets and pineapple sage, not to mention plenty of customers at a co-op, other restaurants, local grocery stores and a gourmet caterer.
Michael Pappas created what few people thought was possible in the age of industrial farming: a small organic operation that is both environmentally and economically sustainable.
Pappas has, on this hilly field, created what few people thought was possible in the age of industrial farming: a small organic operation that is both environmentally and economically sustainable. Like dozens of other farmers across the region, he has leveraged the grass-roots-turned-mainstream popularity of farmers markets to expand the market for locally grown produce to restaurants, caterers, grocery stores and even college dining halls. Pappas, who is single and has no children, typically can’t afford to eat at Citronelle, but he says he’s making a nice living.
It’s not just nostalgia for a quaint notion of local farming — or fear of E. coli in spinach — that drives Pappas’s success, though those are important components. He’s also benefiting from the heightened sophistication of Whole Foods customers and their ilk, people who want to feed both their bodies and their social consciences, and who ask themselves, “What good is eating organic if it’s been trucked 3,000 gas-guzzling miles across the country?”
You can read the entire article at The Washington Post: A Growing Trend: Small, Local, and Organic
There is more information about this in The NY Times: The Package May Say Healthy, But This Grocer Begs to Differ
So also keep your eyes open for opportunities in natural foods, natural living and natural health care.
This is why so much of our focus is on natural health. These shifts create growing international investing opportunities, plus our most important asset is our good health.
Until next message, good investing and health to you.
P.S. Gain natural health benefits. Attend our upcoming course on ayurvedic cleansing. Learn numerous ayurvedic health secrets at Vaidya Mishra’s upcoming Ayurvedic Health Cleanse Course in Ecuador January 8-9-10, 2007. See details at https://garyascott.com/catalog/vedcl/
Merri and I are in Ecuador now reviewing some terrific real estate bargains you’ll be able to see when you visit us for a course this winter. Here is a four bedroom, 1520 square foot house with an asking price of $93,000 (located near the garden above) you can see for sale (in a rural area) when you visit us in Cotacachi, (if it has not been sold).